Strøtanker om bæredygtighed

Fik skrevet i går, at det så ud til at REDD+forhandlingerne var kørt fast, men nu 22:15 tweetede Agus Sari, at formandsskabets draft-forlæg var blevet accpeteret som udgangspunkt for videre forhandling.

In addition to releasing a new carbon cudget, Global Carbon Project also announced a new online  platform to track every nation’s progress. Dubbed the Carbon Atlas, the new website allows users to easily view both total and per capita emissions by country in 2012.

Top Ten Emitters in 2012 according to  the GCP

• 1. China
• 2. United States
• 3. India
• 4. Russian Federation
• 5. Japan
• 6. Germany
• 7. South Korea
• 8. Iran
• 9. Saudi Arabia
• 10. Canada

Til gengæld udnævnte Climate Action Network Europe i går i samarbejde med Germanwatch listen over lande med de bedste klimaindsatser. Og her kommer Danmark ind på en flot fjerdeplads (første-, anden- og tredjepladsen står tomme fordi ingen gør det godt nok til at fortjene disse). Det fik vi også sidste år, og der er endda tale om små forbedringer på de fleste fronter. Så et flot resultat for den danske klimaindsats, som vores R-S-SF-regering gradvist har fået udfoldet. Derefter følger England, Portugal, Sverige, Schweiz, Malta og Frankrig, som har formået at liste sig 5 pladser op siden sidste år, sikkert som et resultat af, at præsident Hollande har sat ind for at mindske den nucleare afhængighed og udbygge den vedvarende energi betragteligt.

Her er det tabel 1 fra den seneste Climtae Change Performance Index – Results 2014, som viserverdens ti største udledere. Det er det påfaldende, at de alle scorer fra moderat til dårlige og meget dårlig klimaindsats. Nu er der næsten 200 lande i verden, men undersøgelsen omfatter i alt 58 lande med placeringer ned til nr. 61, så mange af verdens store udledere ligger i den virkelig dårlige ende. Tyskland er faldet 11 pladser tilbage i forhold til sidste år, i høj grad fordi man har skåret betydeligt ned på bevillingerne til det abitiøse omstillingsprojekt til vedvarende energi. Japan er også faldet alvorligt tilbage, og vurderingen må næsten være foretaget før offentliggørelsen for mindre end en uge siden af den seneste klimamålsætning, som sandsynligvis ville sende landet endnu længere tilbage. Når man hører klimaforhandlere for de 5-6 tungeste på listen, USA, Kina, Japan, Korea osv. så er der ikke grænser for, hvor committed, de er, hvor meget de har gjort, og hvor godt de gør det. Ved ikke, om de selv tror på det, men det er godt at få lidt proportion i sagerne. Og det er på tide at vi verden over gør os klart, i hvor høj grad den indsats, vi gør, står mål med situationen.

Vurderingen af de enkelte landes klimaindsats kan downloades herfra:

The Climate Change Performance Index Results 2014, Det økologiske Råd 18.11.2013 (pdf).

Country Scorecard Denmark, Det Økologiske Råd 18.11.2013 (pdf).

I klimaforhandlingernes anden uge er det “high level segment”, hvor ministre og statsoverhoveder er med, så fra i dag er også Connie Hedegaard på banen. Har kopieret hendes åbningstale ind herunder. Den er uden vidtløftigheder, uden de store principdiskussioner, den handler om at få de enkelte landes klimamålsætninger for 2020 og frem på bordet i så god tid inden aftalen i Paris, at der i bedste fald kan ske en gensidigt positiv optrapning – at hvis I strammer jer lidt mere sammen, så kan vi godt kompasset rundt binde os for lidt mere:

Secretary-General Ban Ki Moon, Mr. President, Ministers, ladies and gentlemen!

Sometimes when you despair of the slow pace of these negotiations, and of the discrepancy between the many alarming words and too few urgent actions – it’s often good to step back. And what do we see then? We see climate change moving to the centre of the debate on economic policy. Global economic leaders get this.

World Bank President Jim Yong Kim calls climate change a fundamental threat to economic development. Christine Lagarde, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund, has said it is by far the greatest economic challenge of this century. And most recently Angel Gurria, the head of the OECD, said we face a choice “between stranded assets and a stranded planet.”

If we want to move faster we need to mainstream climate action into the economy, into our key political choices and into our development strategies. We need a paradigm shift.

So how can the international climate negotiations contribute to this? Above all, by being serious about the 2015 deadline. It is not a tentative deadline. It is not just something nice to aspire to. It is a ‘must have’ because global action is already running late. And obviously it cannot be an empty agreement that is only fine architecture without any concrete ambition and commitments. Commitments – that is ACTIONS – is what matters.

In 2015 – six years after Copenhagen, four years after Durban – no country will have a legitimate excuse for not having done its homework, for not having prepared its pledge and its fair share of the contribution. That is why the EU is proposing a step-wise approach to encourage ambitious commitments under the 2015 agreement. The commitments must be transparent, quantifiable, comparable, verifiable and ambitious.

Parties need to prepare their pledges in 2014. We need a decision here in Warsaw that recognises this, that sets out the information Parties should provide up front, and that paves the way for an assessment or consultation phase. This is vital to ensure commitments are collectively adequate to meet our agreed goal.

The Warsaw Climate Conference should put us on the right track for closing as quickly as possible the global gap in the pre-2020 level of mitigation ambition; and contribute to an ambitious, legally binding agreement by 2015 that covers the period after 2020 and puts the world on a credible pathway to meet the below two degrees objective. Here we should learn from the economic policies: if targets are not met, normally you don’t change the target. No, you add more policies in order to achieve the target. Nowhere in politics will this approach be more needed than exactly in climate policies.

Thank you.

Connie Hedegaard kommer til Warszawa med en god nyhed i bagagen. EU har netop vedtaget, at i budgetterne for 2014-20 skal mindst 20% af det samlede budget gå til klimarelaterede projekter og programmer, hvilket er op imod en tredobling i forhold til i dag.

Og måske … kan der inden for en måneds tid komme en endelig afklaring af den backloading af det overforsynede europæiske kvotemarked, som tilsyneladende er den stærkeste medicin, man kan ordinere. I hvert fald er forslaget, som det eneste års tid har været så grueligt meget igennnem, sat på dagsordenen 10. december. Så det ligner en konstruktiv tid for EUs klimapolitik. Så mangler det bare, at overlæggeren bliver sat lige så meget højere for 2020, at det virker bare lidt ansporende, og at EU i god tid stiller med en virkelig ambitiøs 2030-målsætning, som kan være med til at løfte ambitionsniveauet kloden rundt. Den nuværende 20%-målsætning for 2020 kan klares med hænderne i lommen, og det giver berettiget kritik fra udviklingslandene, når der i den grad kaldes på styrket ambition. Med 30% skal der måske en lille smule mere til, ved 35% begynder man at kunne tale om ambitiøst. I ADP forhandlingssporet insistederede Indien i dag på, at de rige landes reduktioner frem til 2020, hvor den globale indsats efter planen skal træde i kraft blev på 40% i forhold til 1990. Rent teknisk ikke nogen umulighed i de europæiske lande, men Polen vil givet trække i nødbresen. Og som det ser ud lige nu, så kommer det ikke til at ske i de fleste af store gamle udlederlande, hvoraf mange stadig i dag tumler med højere udledninger end i 1990.

For 2030 skulle EU gerne godt over 50%, nærmere 60%, for at vi rammer ind med 95% reduktion i 2050. For vi kan ikke regne med, at klimaindsatsen hele vejen blot kan defineres som de laveste frugter først. På et tidspunkt inden for få år skal der tages alvorligt fat på transportsektoren, for ellers vil der være brug for de tilbageværende 5% adskillige gange alene fra vores fly- og vejtransport. For der er jo også alt det andet vi bruger og gør, som også indebærer udledninger.

Der ser ikke ud til at være udnævnt nogen Dagens Fossil i dag, måske fordi Climate Action Network også er involveret i udnævnelsen af verdens klimadukse og for dagen i dag har lagt de fossile briller til side.

Se IISDs Earth Negotiations Bulletin for 11.11., 12.11., 13.11., 14.11., 15.11., 16.11., 18.11., 19.11., 20.11. og 21.11. og 22.-23.11. for et mere teknisk præget resume af forhandlingerne i de mange spor (pdf).

Se COP19 optegnelser her på Strøtanker for 11.11., 12.11., 13.11., 14.11., 15.11., 16.-17.11., 18.11., 19.11., 20.11., 21.11., 22.11. og 23.11.

Se samtlige blog-indlæg tagged COP19.

  video 19.11.

3rd meeting of the COP, 3rd meeting of the CMP, Opening of the Joint High-level Segment, UNFCCC webcast 19.11.2013.

Secretary-General of the United Nations, (pressekonference) UNFCCC webcast 19.11.2013.

UK Youth Climate Coalition: Youth climate campaigners at COP19 reflect on first week and look forward, (pressekonference) UNFCCC webcast 19.11.2013.

World Energy Council: World Energy Scenarios to 2050: a three-year study on why the 450 ppm CO2 goal will not be met on current paths, (pressekonference) UNFCCC webcast 19.11.2013.

WWF: No Money, No Love: Public Financing at COP19, (pressekonference) UNFCCC webcast 19.11.2013.

The UN system as a catalyst for climate action: Promoting sustainable low-carbon development, (special event) UNFCCC webcast 19.11.2013.

International Hydropower Association, International Solar Energy Society, World Wind Energy Association, World Bioenergy Association: Renewables working together – 100% Renewables possible, (pressekonference) UNFCCC webcast 19.11.2013.

European Union, (pressekonference) UNFCCC webcast 19.11.2013.

United Nations Environment Programme: Africa Adaptation Gap Report, (pressekonference) UNFCCC webcast 19.11.2013.

IUCN: Launch of the Environment and Gender Index (EGI), (pressekonference) UNFCCC webcast 19.11.2013.

UNFCCC: High-level Round Table on Market Approaches for Enhanced Climate Action, (special event) UNFCCC webcast 19.11.2013.

World Future Council: Feed-in Tariffs Compatible with Green Climate Fund Key to Investment Security in Renewable Energy, (pressekonference) UNFCCC webcast 19.11.2013.

Climate Action Network International: News from the negotiations: a briefing by civil society, (pressekonference) UNFCCC webcast 19.11.2013.

COP19: Robert Lewis Carlson on agriculture within climate talks, 4:06 min. RTCC video 19.11.2013.

Bianca Jagger calls the people to rise up against fossil fuel greed, 9:09 min. RTCC video 19.11.2013.

David Nussbaum WWF-UK on aligning politics with science, 9:14 min. RTCC video 19.11.2013.

On Day 9 of Fast, Filipino Climate Chief Yeb Saño Demands Rich Nations Pay Up for Global Pollution, (video) Democracy Now 19.11.2013.

Leaked Memo Reveals U.S. Plan to Oppose Helping Poor Nations Adapt to Climate Change, (video) Democracy Now 19.11.2013.

  artikler 19.11.

Helen Clark: Speech at the High-Level Seminar on Addressing Climate Change in South-South Co-operation, UNDP 19.11.2013.

Ben Garside: Global carbon emissions rise to new record in 2013 – report, Reuters 19.11.2013.

Deborah Peelan: Reflections from COP 19, weekend events, Outreach 19.11.2013.

Oliver Milman: Australia worst carbon emitter per capita among major western nations, The Guardian 19.11.2013.

Nitin Sethi: Climate change: ‘Developing nations equally responsible’, The Hindu 19.11.2013.

Nitin Sethi: Stalemate on loss and damage ends, The Hindu 19.11.2013.

Damian Carrington: UK failing on green commitments, conservation groups say, The Guardian 19.11.2013.

Robin Webster: Unpopular but tenacious: A guide to the UK carbon price floor, The Carbon Brief 19.11.2013.

Noemi Glickman: California emissions scheme over supplied by more than expected, Bloomberg 19.11.2013.

James West: 3 Countries That Are Bailing on Climate Action, Climate Desk 19.11.2013.

Lisa Friedman: A lopsided fight between coal and renewable energy in Poland, E&E Publishing 19.11.2013.

Stefan Nicola: Ban Ki-Moon Scolds Rich Countries Backtracking on Climate, Bloomberg 19.11.2013.

John Vidal: Climate talks: wealthy countries urged to foot bill for weather-related disasters, The Guardian 19.11.2013.

Ewa Krukowska: EU Said to Weigh December Deal on Carbon-Fix Timetable, Bloomberg 19.11.2013.

David Waskow: 4 Issues to Watch as COP 19 Wraps Up, WRI 19.11.2013.

Kiribati negotiates for survival at UN climate change talks, (SPREP) Islands Business 19.11.2013.

Fiji, Chair of G77 – “We, as Small Islands can do this”, (SPREP) Islands Business 19.11.2013.

UN Climate talks, important for the Cook Islands, (SPREP) Islands Business 19.11.2013.

Coal industry must diversify to avert worst impacts of climate change – UN official, (UN, SPREP) Islands Business 19.11.2013.

Matt McGrath: The strange tale of two fuels, BBC News 19.11.2013.

Ellysar Baroudy: Committed to Healthier Forests and Landscapes, The World Bank 19.11.2013.

On Day 9 of Fast, Filipino Climate Chief Yeb Saño Demands Rich Nations Pay Up for Global Pollution, (video) Democracy Now 19.11.2013.

CO2 emission increase driven by China, coal, (AFP) ABC News 19.11.2013.

Brett Smith: Global Carbon Emissions To Hit 40B Tons In 2013, Says Report, Red Orbit 19.11.2013.

Graham Redfearn: Climate Denial Group CFACT Congratulates Australia During Warsaw Talks, DeSmogBlog 19.11.2013.

Stephanie Pappas: Global Warming Causes ‘Acid Indigestion’ for Sea Urchins, LiveScience 19.11.2013.

Ben Jervey: Coal industry tries to crash Warsaw climate talks, gets spanked, Grist 19.11.2013.

Energy Efficiency: The Fuel for Low-Carbon Urban Development, The World Bank 19.11.2013.

Matt McGrath: ‘Loss and damage’ re-opens old wounds at climate talks, BBC News 19.11.2013.

Nitin Sethi: Climate change: ‘Developing nations equally responsible’, The Hindu 19.11.2013.

Hans Olav Ibrekk: UN’s Adaptation Fund needs more resources, Reuters 19.11.2013.

Jeremy Hance: Carbon emissions set to hit new record high in  2013, Mongobay 19.11.2013.

Saleem Shaikh & Sughra Tunio: Lack of cross-border cooperation limits climate readiness in S. Asia, Reuters 19.11.2013.

Barbara Fraser: Biological corridors help plants adapt to climate change – study, 19.11.2013.

Sophie Yeo: EU directs 20% of budget to climate change on eve of UN finance meeting, RTCC 19.11.2013.

Jamie Henn: Yeb Sano’s Speech at #WeStandWithYou Petition Delivery, 350.org 19.11.2013.

Ed King: Finance central to UN climate talks, as UK calls for more pledges, RTCC 19.11.2013.

Olga Dobrovidova: Letter to Russia: don’t shoot yourself in both feet at UN climate talks, RTCC 19.11.2013.

Most coal must stay in the ground, UN climate chief Christiana Figueres says, (Bloomberg) Sydney Morning Herald 19.11.2013.

Jake Smidt: Warsaw Climate Negotiations Should Look Forward, Act Now, NRDC Switchboard 19.11.2013.

Graham Redfearn: Climate talks, coal and the pink lungs of Warsaw, The Guardian 19.11.2013.

Martin Spray: Entire economy depends on healthy environment, report shows, The Guardian 19.11.2013.

Stephen Leahy: Canada Leads Race to Climate Disaster, DesmogBlog 19.11.2013.

John Vidal: Yeb Sano surfaces at UN climate talks and thanks supporters of fast, The Guardian 19.11.2013.

Fiona Harvey & Shaun Walker: Arctic oil spill is certain if drilling goes ahead, says top scientist, The Guardian 19.11.2013.

Holly Young: 13 tips on building a coalition to tackle climate change, The Guardian 19.11.2013.

Joe Romm: Invest, Divest: Renewable Investment To Hit $630 Billion A Year In 2030, Fossil Fuel Stocks At Risk Today, Climate Progress 19.11.2013.

Rebecca Lefton: Dispatches From Warsaw: U.N. Leadership Issues Firm Call To Action On Climate Change, Climate Progress 19.11.2013.

Vikas Nath: Warsaw UN Climate Talks: What is there to negotiate? Vikas nath 19.11.2013.

Fran Sussman: Global annual disaster costs, Climate, Dollars & Sense 19.11.2013.

Jesper Løvenbalk Hansen: FN’s klimachef: Kulindustrien bør frygte for fremtiden, Information 19.11.2013.

Karl Ritter: Ban Ki-moon says current climate pledges are insufficient to fight global warming, (AP) Washington Post 19.11.2013.

Ben Adler: Want a climate deal? Rich nations will have to pay up to help poor ones, Grist 19.11.2013.

Eric Posner: You Can Have Either Climate Justice or a Climate Treaty, Slate 19.11.2013.

Agenda 350 – klima- og bæredygtighedsnyheder for 19.11.